rhenium from the perspective of consumers and applications 2008-2028
The metal rhenium
consumers and applications 2008 - 2028 • The largest
Civil Aviation
- - Military
- IGT (gas turbine - energy) market for rhenium, the turbine industry defined
use in super alloys for
is
• Second biggest customer is the catalyst industry (petrochemical)
• Other applications include
- Medical
- Thermocouples, sheets, wire,
- powder production
- new applications ReB2, Gas to Liquid
Consumption is characterized in the next 20 years from the turbine industry.
The total consumption (2008: 68T) will increase by 2028 to about 123T rhenium.
consumers and applications 2008 - 2028
comparing the expected Development of the various demand segments,
it is striking that the proportion of the turbine industry remains virtually unchanged.
the market is growing by about 51 tons to about 92 tons.
The catalyst market and the medical business will increase by 1.5 and 2.5% per
year.
largest increases are expected through new applications such as gas to liquid and through new products such as
ReB2 (Rheniumdiborid). The rhenium
range of primary production and recycling can demand from 2011 to no longer cover. The
mine production can be increased only moderately from 2013. Even if the primary production of about 50 tonnes in 2008 to 80
increase t by 2028 should the increasing demand is not balanced. Starting in 2011, draws a
from long-term demand gap. Because despite intensive research rhenium substituted by another metal can
, an extreme price increase for rhenium is in sight. From recycling activities will be by 2028
a production capacity of 30-35 tons per year are available. However, it is very uncertain whether enough scrap for
will be available to take advantage of this recycling capacity. From 2012 no more
stocks will be available, if not there will be an extreme collapse of global economic activity.
2008, the price of rhenium pellets kg in a balanced market, $ 12,000. 2009 was the total
demand for rhenium at about 50 t, because the airline industry, the repair business, but hesitated as strong as possible. The
excess supply caused the price of pellets Rhemium to 4,700 USD / kg fall.
From May 2010 to show the prices again rise.
market and consequences
• 2008: 1000 aircraft deliveries by Airbus and Boeing
• 1000 x 2 engines (acceptance twin-jet)
• 2000 x 8.5 kg = about 16,000 kilograms of rhenium
• 2008: 18800 aircraft in service / repair cycle every 6 years
2750 x 2 = 5500 engines each approx 5kg rhenium = 27,500 kg
• 2028: 2150 aircraft deliveries by Airbus and Boeing
• 4300 x 2 engines (acceptance twin-jet)
• 4300 x 7.0 kg = rhenium ca.30.000
kg • 2028: 35 600 aircraft in service / repair cycle every 6 years
5775 x 2 = 11 550 engines, each approx 4.3 kg = 50,000 kg rhenium
• Airbus and Boeing go from about 30,000 new jets in the period from 2008 to 2028, ie in
average, 1,500 aircraft produced each year.
• The U.S. military has is to F22 and F35 2035 3500 fighter jets and 534 tanker / transport in
• The budget for the military Rheniumbedarf
at about 3500 x 2 engines with about 13-16 kg Re = 100,000 kg Rhenium
534 x 2 Triebwerke mit ca. 8 kg Re = 8.500 kg Rhenium
Somit steiget sich der der Militärbedarf bis 2028 um ca. 4,5 t auf 9 - 10t Rhenium pro Jahr.
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